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Tuesday, August 26, 2014

Fukushima Radiation Causes 104 Cases of Cancer In Kids - Maybe


That was my initial reaction when I first heard about the 104 cases (and growing, I am sure) of kids in Fukushima-ken (Fukushima Prefecture) developing thyroid gland cancer, a sure-sign finger-pointing development from exposure to hazardous radiation.

Or is it?

These kids, or young people, if you prefer, were all under 18 years of age at the time of the 2011 Fukushima nuclear disaster - amongst an estimated 300,000 such youngsters - though these 104 victims had an average age of 14.8 when the nuclear snafu at the Dai-Ichi nuclear power generating facility began. 

So no… the number isn't huge, but it is still 104 too many.

Facts of the afflicted:
Male = 36
Female = 68

I am unsure if gender plays a role in this, but perhaps that is something researchers are looking at.

Reports of tumor size vary from five to 41-millimeters, though the average appears to be 14-mm.

Now… of the 104, Fukushima-ken government officials note that 57 cases are definitive… which does NOT mean that people think this was caused by exposure to radiation…

In fact, the Fukushima government says they don't believe these cancer cases in the 104 are actually linked to the Dai-Ichi nuclear accident.

So… let's see… 104 people out of 300,000 youth…  well… number one… that's an estimated number of total youth, isn't it?

Okay, so people more adept than my self (I once had 19% over all in Grade 9 math - for the year - though I will say that I did get better after puberty was complete and was no longer propping up my school desk, taking away valuable blood flow to the brain ) say that the numbers work out to MORE than 30 people sick out of 100,000…

Again, this is 104 people (or now 30 out of 100,000) who are SUSPECTED of having cancer (recall only 57 are definitive at this time).

Now… if we look at Miyagi-ken, which wasn't affected by the nuclear disaster, the number thread gland cancer suffers based on a population of 100,000 is only 1.7 people.

Miyagi-ken's capital city of Sendai is only about 67-kilometers northeast of Fukushima city.

That's 30 people in Fukushima-ken where there was a nuclear accident(s) versus 1.7 people in Miyagi-ken.

And yet, the government of Fukushima says  - 'hey, waitaminute… this is apples and oranges, and you can't compare the two figures.' That was me putting their thoughts into words, by the way. I'm sure more bowing and sucking of air through the teeth would have been involved.

That sounds convenient. Of course the Fukushima-ken government would believe that, because it is obviously looking to cover its own ass financially and morally.

They have experts that say the figures cannot be compared because the test in Fukushima-ken  covers a large number of people who have no symptoms.

Radiation experts are also divided over whether the cases of thyroid gland cancer diagnosed or suspected in the 104 young people should be linked to the 2011 nuclear accident.


Precedence following the 1986 Chernobyl nuclear meltdown shows that the instances of thyroid cancer in youth ONLY increased AFTER four years… as it takes its sweet time to develop.

No matter how you look at it, we are only Year 3.

Others defending the higher-than-expected instances of thyroid cancer in Fukushima-ken claim that now, almost 30 years later, better, more-precise cancer tests are finding the cancer sooner.

That makes sense… also…

the Fukushima tests for thyroid cancer were not done at the insistence of people feeling ill, but rather because the government actually provided for such testing in advance… to make sure people weren't going to be sick or too sick before the cancer developed.

So… the Fukushima government can be commended for having the foresight to set up the testing for its citizenry, but critiqued for not having the balls to acknowledge the results.

Andrew Joseph

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